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analyst:
Dave Gonzalez
Santa Anita
Breeders’ Cup, Day 1, Santa Anita 11/06/09
Race 1) The picks:
6-11-9-3- Confidence level:
Average
#6 Deal Breaker 3-1 moves turf to dirt & down in class a hair for
his 2nd off a break so he might rebound here while he stretches back
out for a barn sporting nice numbers w/ similar, call.
#11 Mr. Hot Stuff 4-1 has races that give him a chance in here as
he ships back in to return to the main track, contender.
#9 Joshua’s Dream 6-1 may be rounding back to top form for a good
barn so this one may be involved, especially if he gets pace to run at.
Other contenders: #3 Riviera Cocktail 6-1
Race 2) The picks: 11-5-9-2
Confidence level: Good
#11 Miss McCall 8-5 improved in her 2nd career try last
out while coming off a rest so she could show more today which would make her
tough here.
#5 Halfaponderosa 4-1 improved a bit in her 2nd career
try last out as well & if she does so again here she will be a major player
here.
#9 Stunningly 6-1 tossed a career race last out off the bench &
anything like that makes him tough here but he could be poised to bounce while
also looking like more of a nibbler than a winner so demand a square price.
Other contenders: #2 She’s Very Rare 6-1
Race 3) The picks: 9-4-6-3
Confidence level: Average
#9 Man Of Iron 3-1 makes his US debut w/ lasix w/ a steady
improving line behind him entering this so he might be the one @ a solid price.
#4 Cloudy’s Knight 3-1 might be tough in here if he can acclimate
to the dirt while making his 3rd off the bench for a barn that is
deadly in long distance events like this.
#6 Mastery 5-1 has great turf form but only ran ok on dirt in his
lone try on this surface & considering his low odds in the morning line he seems
very likely to be badly overbet here for one w/ no real edge on these.
Other contenders: #3 Nite Light 6-1
Race 4) The picks: 7-11-8-4
Confidence level: Average
#7 House Of Grace 3-1 has yet to lose & her career debut win on
grass was solid so she might be able to build on her return run last out while
returning to the grass today in her 2nd off a break.
#11 Junia Tepzia 4-1 has looked very good in her 2 starts in
Europe & she could easily be very tough in this spot.
#8 Lillie Langtry 6-1 has never run a bad one & this is another
one that might be any kind, contender.
Other contenders: #4 Rose Catherine 6-1
Race 5) The picks: 10-5-8-4
Confidence level: Average
#10 Negligee 5-2 has improved w/ each race to date & if she
continues that trend here in her 2nd off a rest she may be the one.
#5 Bickersons 9-2 is very similar to the choice here so she too
looks like a possibility in this race but this one does have to improve a bit
more so demand more value.
#8 She Be Wild 5-1 is yet another that has shown more w/ each race
so far so she too must be seen as a threat here.
Other contenders: #4 Beautician 5-1
Race 6) The picks: 6-2-4-3
Confidence level: Good
#6 Midday 1-1 adds lasix for her US debut while making her 2nd
off a break & she looks like a very tough customer in here if she builds on that
return race @ all.
#2 Forever Together 3-1 almost always fires & she is the defending
champ in this race so she has the class to win this as she makes her 3rd
start back from a break in here making her the one to fear.
#4 Magical Fantasy 5-1 has steady if unspectacular figures that
should put him in the mix here for a share @ the very least.
Other contenders: #3 Rutherienne 8-1
Race 7) The picks: 1-7-3-2
Confidence level: Average
#1 Free Flying Soul 3-1 may be the speed of the race here & if she
can shake loose in her 2nd off a rest she might take these a long way
@ a huge price for a barn that knows how to win w/ this type, maybe.
#7 Informed Decision 3-1 almost always fires & if she gets even a
touch of help up front she will be tough to deny here.
#3 Game Face 5-1 has races that put her in the mix if she is ready
off layoff, a possibility.
Other contenders: #2 Sara Louise 6-1
Race 8) The picks: 7-3-1-6
Confidence level: Good
#7 Music Note 3-2 usually fires & after her last 2 she seems to be
back on track so she looks very tough in here if that is the case, call.
#3 Mushka 3-1 has some nice dirt/poly track wins & she might be
sitting on a break out effort here for a strong combo, contenders.
#1 Careless Jewel 5-1 bounced last out but still won after a pair
of career runs in her 2nd & 3rd back so if she can rebound
in here then she might be very tough in this race.
Other contenders: #6 Cocoa Beach 7-1
Race 9) The picks: 6-13-9-11
Confidence level: Average
#6 Teamgeist 7-2 returns to the turf here & that might help put
her back on track & give her a solid shot in here.
#13 Tizaqueena 4-1 tossed a career race last out off the bench &
anything like that makes her tough here but she could be poised to bounce so
demand a square price.
#9 Quiet Meadow 5-1 is very similar to the second choice here so
she too looks like a possibility in this race.
Other contenders: #11 Internallyflawless 6-1