surethingselections.com Analysis by: Lisa Gonzalez Churchill Downs 06/22/2003
Race
1) Selections:
11-10-4
Confidence level:
4
Contenders:
#4 Jaunty Day (7-2), #10 KaylanÂs Rose (7-2), #11 Guidebook (7-2)
Analysis:
#11 Guidebook
drops in to MCL for the first time as she goes post ward for her second career
try which could find her improving enough to take this.
#10 KaylanÂs
Rose
debuts for a trainer w/ ok stats but gets this one in a weak affair so she could
be live right out of the box.
Wagering Suggestions:
none
Race
2) Selections:
8-2-5
Confidence level: 5
Contenders:
#2 Native Prairie
(3-1), #3 Northland's Gift (5-1), #5 Dance Note (9-2), #7 Seafarer (7-1), #8
Vinalhaven (2-1)
Analysis:
#8 Vinalhaven
should be the one to put up the pace in here as he stretches out for his second
off the bench & could go coast to coast.
#2
Native Prairie
tracked leaders nicely last out to get a perfect trip win a similar type effort
in here though would put him close but a minor prize seems more likely.
#5 Dance Note
drops a ton in class for this but his running style may relegate him to minor
awards more often than wins.
Wagering Suggestions:
none
Race 3) Selections:
10-9-6 Confidence
level: 5
Contenders:
#6 Lady Aflair (10-1), #9 Notable Kindness (5-2), #10 We Can Do (3-2)
Analysis:
#10 We Can Do
ran a sharp one in her debut while dueling almost every inch of the way & then
just missing should be tougher in here w/ that experience under her belt, must
be caught today. #9 Notable Kindness hails from a sharp barn that
will probably have this one set to move forward quite a bit over what she showed
last out in her debut run, maybe. #6 Lady Aflair improved some
last out in here second start & if she can repeat that &/or improve off that a
bit she can grab a share in here.
Wagering Suggestions: none
Race 4) Selections:
3-6-5
Confidence level: 6
Contenders:
#2 Funny Mood
(6-1), #3 Missing
Miss (6-5), #5 Golden Sonata (6-1), #6 Ravish Me (6-1)
Analysis:
#3 Missing Miss
has the speed & ability to take this paceless bunch wire to wire.
#6 Ravish Me
should be able to track the choice from close range & if that one stumbles she
can pounce in here but a minor prize seems more realistic.
#5 Golden Sonata
gets lasix for the first time for a hall of fame barn that should have this one
primed & a share of this seems very plausible.
Wagering
Suggestions:
none
Race 5) Selections:
3-6-4 Confidence
level: 6
Contenders:
#3 Chasethegold
(8-5), #4 Joyful Ballad (4-1), #6 Our Josephina
(4-1)
Analysis:
#3 Chasethegold
has speed & a figure in last that of she can duplicate will make her very tough
but a bounce is a possibility.
#6 Our Josephina
had a tough trip in here last when well behind the choice she should be closer
today w/ an easier journey. #4 Joyful Ballad
hails from a barn that has unbelievable stats w/ this type & she could be very
tough in here w/ some improvement.
Wagering
Suggestions:
none
Race 6) Selections:
1-2-4
Confidence level: 5
Contenders:
#1 Spurred On (2-1),
#2 Kentucky Squall (4-1), #4 Willstep (5-1)
Analysis:
#1 Spurred On
has a ton of speed & will take these as far as he can go, must be caught.
#2 Kentucky Squall
has the figures but he lacks the will to get the win it seems, a minor share
though is however, w/in reach.
#4 Willstep
drops a ton in class in here & moves from turf to the dirt today & if he can
translate those efforts he can be a major player in here.
Wagering Suggestions:
none
Race 7) Selections:
4-6-5
Confidence level: 7
Contenders:
#4 Roses in May
(8-5), #5 Perfect Ride (6-1), #6 Kodema (2-1), #7 Traditional (7-1)
Analysis:
#4 Roses in May
looked sharp when improving in his second start to break his maiden & he has the
look of a horse w/ more potential on the way, gets the call in here. #6
Kodema has run some excellent races since
moving to the dirt two back & he should be right there again today w/ a similar
type effort, the one to fear. #5 Perfect Ride
should be able to plod along in here & come
up w/ a check.
Wagering
Suggestions:
none
Race 8) Selections:
1-2-4
Confidence level: 7
Contenders:
#1 Gretchen's Star
(2-1), #2 Roxinho (5-2), #4 Drewman (4-1)
Analysis: #1
Gretchen's Star
likes to win & should be tighter for this now that he has that return race out
of the way, gets the nod.
#2 Roxinho
is pretty close in ability to the choice but this one seems to have problems
winning on this course, still he is a threat in here.
#4 Drewman
is undefeated
thus far on the grass & could be any kind on this surface, a possibility.
Wagering Suggestions: none
Race 9) Selections:
1-2-7 Confidence
level: 7
Contenders:
#1 Gloriosity (2-1),
#2 Meet Me At Midnite (5-2), #7 Miu Miu (7-2)
Analysis:
#1
Gloriosity
likes the trip & has speed but she can rate too, looks like the one to beat in
here. #2 Meet
Me At Midnite
seems to put forth an effort every time & should be able to get a piece of this
@ the least. #7
Miu Miu
returns to the dirt today & might be poised to get up for a share of this but
little else.
Wagering Suggestions:
none
Race 10) Selections:
12-9-4-2 Confidence
level: 5
Contenders:
#2 Venetian Glass
(6-1), #4 Paris Past (7-1), #9 T. C.'s Girl (3-1), #12 Cozzmic Wonder (2-1)
Analysis:
#12 Cozzmic
Wonder
gets lasix for todayÂs race after improving considerably last time when she was
coming off the bench & that should have her poised for a career race today, gets
the call. #9 T.
C.'s Girl
is bred for the grass & could be any kind as she tries it for the first time in
her career second effort.
#4 Paris Past
has run well in both turf tries to date but a minor prize seems more likely than
the win in this field.
Wagering Suggestions:
none
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