surethingselections.com
Analysis by: Dave
Gonzalez
Belmont
06/22/03
Race 1) Selections:
2-3-5
Confidence
level: 7
Contenders fair odds: #1 Single Edge (6-1), #2 Harvick (3-2), #3
Simon's Birch (4-1),
#5 Vive Bene (5-1)
Analysis:
#2 Harvick
ships in, changes trainers & gets lasix as he drops in w/ MCL foes for the first
time, all solid moves so he gets the call to take the opener.
#3 Simon's Birch
has some decent efforts on his resume & might toss one of them as he ships back
in, cuts back & moves turf to dirt. #5 Vive Bene has speed & will
take these as far as he can but holding for a share seems like a best case
scenario for him.
Wagering
Suggestions:
none
Race 2) Selections:
2-7-3
Confidence
level: 5
Contenders fair odds: #2 Concorde's Term (9-5), #3 Doo Da Do
(9-2), #7 Oath of Office (2-1)
Analysis:
#2 Concorde's
Term has
speed & will take these as far as he can w/ once again & that could be all the
way as there is not much speed signed on here.
#7 Oath of Office
ran a nice race off the bench last out but rises as he ships in to make his NY
debut, if he can use his tactical speed & @ least duplicate his last race he can
be right there though.
#3 Doo Da Do
has some decent efforts to his credit & looks to be rounding back towards one of
them in here, threat if he does so.
Wagering
Suggestions:
none
Race 3)
Selections:
5-1-6
Confidence
level: 8
Contenders fair odds: #1 Black Mambo (2-1), #5 A Great Team (3-2),
#6 Tribute to Heroes (10-1)
Analysis:
#5
A Great Team
ran a beauty last out & should be very tough w/ another like that, gets the
call. #1
Black Mambo
has run some very nice races & looks like he should get a piece of this @ the
very least. #6
Tribute to Heroes
probably needed his last race & should be tighter for this but a minor prize
seems like his best chance in here.
Wagering Suggestions: none
Race 4)
Selections:
2-8-6
Confidence
level: 4
Contenders fair odds: #2 Magic Carpet (7-2), #3 Mickey the Groom
(8-1) #4 Tamul (8-1), #6 Heroic Sight (7-2),
#8 Right too Refuse (7-2)
Analysis:
#2 Magic Carpet
stretches out off one sprint race as he came off the bench in last & he should
be tighter for this, his route debut & a wire job would not be a shock. #8
Right too Refuse also comes off a tightener when he returned to the wars
in his last. He drops a notch for this & looks solid but he has shown a bit of a
tendency to fall short in the lane, be careful @ low odds. #6 Heroic Sight
has been picking up smaller awards pretty regularly of late & may do that again
in here as he ships back in for underrated barn
Wagering
Suggestions:
none
Race 5) Selections:
3-2-6
Confidence
level: 7
Contenders fair odds: #2 Kendrick (2-1), #3 Love Less (3-2), #6
Threat of Victory (4-1)
Analysis:
#3 Love Less looks as though he will get a nice set-up while on
the upswing of his form cycle, the one to beat.
#2 Kendrick
can rate or go though he seems to prefer rating but he is a threat no matter
which way they decide to go. #6 Threat of Victory has speed & will
be winging it but he needs to both get clear & run his best race, maybe but
hanging on for a piece seems more plausible w/ the field as it is.
Wagering
Suggestions:
none
Race 6) Selections:
6-7-1
Confidence
level: 5
Contenders fair odds: #1 Berkshire Princess (4-1), #6 Shorhouse
(2-1), #7 Hurricane Hannah (3-1)
Analysis:
#6 Shorhouse has some swift works leading up to this & a high
profile rider gets a leg up for a low profile barn which is usually a hint the
barn is pulling out all the stops, call. #7 Hurricane Hannah hails
from a barn that can win w/ a firster & the works indicate some ability, a solid
threat here. #1
Berkshire Princess
is bred for speed & has some
ok works could be live so check the tote.
Wagering
Suggestions:
none
Race 7) Selections:
1-2-4
Confidence
level:
Contenders fair odds: #1 Chilly Rooster (9-5), #2 Nacheezmo (2-1),
#4 Atfirst Blush (5-1)
Analysis:
#1 Chilly
Rooster has
excellent speed & might be allowed to show more of it today as her regular pilot
returns to this class dropping, quick returning filly, gets the nod. #2
Nacheezmo has speed also & could duel himself & the choice into the
ground here but he could try to rate as he returns to his proper class level
today, tough either way. #4 Atfirst Blush class dropping turf to
dirt horse would love to have the top two go @ it early but he still might have
to settle for a minor award here, outside shot.
Wagering
Suggestions:
none
Race 8) Selections:
14-1a-13
Confidence
level:
Contenders fair odds: #1a Along Came Mary (3-1), #13 Princess
Dixie (3-1),
#14 Moonlightandbeauty (2-1)
Analysis:
#14
Moonlightandbeauty
has looked outstanding since her return two back & if this race gets washed to
the main track as expected she is the one to catch & beat.
#1a Along Came Mary
is 1 of 4 for this
trainer in here but she is most likely the power of them if this goes on the
dirt.
#13 Princess
Dixie is from
the same barn as the choice & gives them a potent 1-2 punch in here, figures
close up @ the wire.
Wagering
Suggestions:
handicapped for the main track
Race 9) Selections:
8-7-3-9
Confidence
level:
Contenders fair odds: #3 Hidden Ransom (15-1), #7 Air Marshall
(7-2), #8 Finery (3-5),
#9 Lady Kabbalah (15-1)
Analysis:
#8 Finery
ran a beauty to kick off her career last out & could be any kind, looks very
tough in this spot even if she only repeats that last race. #7 Air
Marshall looks like the biggest threat to the choice today if she
rebounds as expected but the choice could be a monster, tough call right now.
#3 Hidden
Ransom adds
the shades for her second off the bench today & looks like a decent fit in here
but for a minor award more than the brass ring.
Wagering
Suggestions:
none
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