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surethingselections.com
analyst:
Dave Gonzalez
Aqueduct
12/03/03
Race 1) Selections: 1/1a-3/3c-2/2b Confidence
level: 8
Analysis: #1/1a Dutrow entry (1-1) both are clearly
capable of taking this but the #1 Looks like the tougher because of the draw &
his fondness for the trip. #3/3c Shuman entry (5-1) both come off
the claim to go here for a barn that does very well w/ this type & if they have
gotten either one back on track this could be a close one. #2/2b Servis
entry (8-1)
neither looks fast enough to take down either of the top two but they both seem
capable of landing in the money here.
Other horses of note: n/a for this race
Race 2) Selections: 7-8-1/1a
Confidence level: 4
Analysis: #7 Bank Audit (9-5) drops a notch
in class for this but is the figure power horse in here & she has enough
tactical speed to stay in range & take over if & when she is ready.
#8 One Bad Sister (4-1)
drops in w/ MCL for the first time as she makes both her dirt debut & sprint
debut in this spot which may enable her to have an �awakening�, especially if
she adds the front wraps today. #1/1a Aquilino entry (5-1) both
have room to improve in this spot but probably not enough so to take down the
top spot.
Other horses of note: #6 Roaring Beauty (6-1)
Race 3) Selections: 7-8-5
Confidence level: 6
Analysis: #7 Open Flirt (2-1) took tons of support
in her debut but had a troubled trip so she should be able to build off that
especially w/ the stretch to a route & her breeding as she makes her second
career start. The stats of her conditioner though imply a somewhat cautious
approach. #8 Priscilla�s Flag (3-1) seems to be circling back
towards her career best figure which would put her right there @ the end of
this. #5 Tough City Girl (6-1) has shown enough to take home a
share of this if she runs one of her better efforts.
Other horses of note: #3 Richie�s
Cat (7-1)
Race 4) Selections:
3-9-7 Confidence level: 2
Analysis: #3 Icicle Charlie (7-2) has improved w/
each start to date & now gets a favorable post for his two-turn debut, which may
help him keep that trend going today giving him a slight edge in a wide-open
affair. #9 Dylans Destiny (7-2) makes his two-turn debut as well
while adding the shades but he will get heavy action & the post he drew is no
bargain on this track, maybe but it is worth taking a shot against him. #7
Lethimthinkhesboss (9-2) adds the hood for this, which might help him
show more speed & give him a chance to run a better race, threat but a minor
award seems much more likely.
Other horses of note: #8 Pay Attention (6-1)
Race 5) Selections: 3-5-8
Confidence level: 9
Analysis: #3 Sea Leon (3-5) drops a notch off a win
as he ships in to make his second off a break for a deadly barn that does solid
work w/ this type so he is the one to beat. #5 Susie�s Poker (8-1)
drops a notch after a short break, which may help him run one of his better
efforts & land him a share of this. #8 Quiet One (10-1) stretches
out off a sprint prep for his second race back form rest & that should help him
get a check in here.
Other horses of note: n/a for this race
Race 6) Selections: 2-6-4
Confidence level: 7
Analysis: #2 Cat Story (3-2) stretches out yet again
for his third off the bench as he makes his two turn debut today while sporting
an improving running line in here & that gives him the edge to get the win.
#6 Irish�n Stride (3-1) ships in to make his second career start
after a decent maiden tally first out so he has room to improve & should do so
if the stats for his trainer hold up, contender. #4 Negotiation (9-2)
has run some nice ones from time to time but looks like more of a nibbler than a
winner; still he has a shot & must be viewed as a threat.
Other horses of note: n/a for this race
Race 7) Selections: 2-6-4 Confidence
level: 3
Analysis: #Simplytruth (5-2) has double the wins of
any other in here & figures that point her out as the one to beat but she has
been neither this far or around two turns so she has some questions to answer
today. #6 Raffie�s Dream (7-2) has great positional speed &
figures that put her near the top of the heap so she should be able to get a
share of this @ the very least. #4 Bound On Bi (5-1) has wins on
the strip & @ the trip so she could be around @ the end of this w/ the return
from the turf combined w/ the drop in class.
Other horses of note: #8 Soon Soon (7-1)
Race 8) Selections: 7-12-10
Confidence level: 9
Analysis:
#7 She�s Zealous (3-5) drops in class as she moves turf to dirt
for this for a barn that gets good results w/ similar making her the one to
beat. #12 Fabulous Brush (7-1) ships in for this & changes barns
but her figures put her squarely in the mix in this race. #10 Maud Gone
(10-1) adds the shades as she comes off the bench in here for a solid
barn that can connect w/ this type but her best still may not be enough to take
down the choice so a minor award seems more likely in this spot.
Other horses of note: n/a for this race
Race 9) Selections: 11-9-1/1a-12 Confidence
level: 5
Analysis: #11 Sherwood Forest (3-1) may be poised to
elevate his game some from a figure perspective which would give him the nod in
this spot. #9 Fellini (3-1) changes trainers as he ships back into
NY & while he looks to be rounding towards peak form his new barn does not seem
very adept @ getting winners so far so demand value. #1/1a Dutrow entry
(4-1) both appear capable for different reasons of taking this race but
both seem more likely to end up w/ a minor award than the win.
Other horses of note: #12 Doc�s Option (7-1)
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